Analysis of prognostic factors, including the incidence of second primary cancer, in patients with early stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated by radiation-based therapy
Original Article

Analysis of prognostic factors, including the incidence of second primary cancer, in patients with early stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated by radiation-based therapy

Kaname Sato1, Kenichiro Yabuki1, Daisuke Sano1, Yasuhiro Arai1, Yoshihiro Chiba1, Teruhiko Tanabe1, Goshi Nishimura1, Masaharu Hata2, Nobuhiko Oridate1

1Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan; 2Department of Oncology, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: K Sato, K Yabuki, D Sano, Y Arai, Y Chiba, T Tanabe, G Nishimura, N Oridate; (II) Administrative support: K Yabuki, N Oridate; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: All authors; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: K Yabuki, D Sano, N Oridate; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: All authors; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

Correspondence to: Kaname Sato, MD. Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, 3-9 Fukuura, Kanazawa, Yokohama, 236-0004, Japan. Email:

Background: The purpose of this study was to elucidate the efficacy of concurrent chemotherapy and analyze prognostic factors in the radiation-based therapy for early stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (ELSCC).

Methods: The records of 97 patients with ELSCC treated by radiation-based therapy from 2004 to 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Eighty-one patients were treated with the combined-agent regimens during the treatment. Of the 81 patients, 58 were treated with S-1 regimen and 23 with other regimens. Clinical factors, such as concurrent chemotherapy, non-glottic subsite and the incidence of second primary cancer (SPC) were analyzed for their association with survival.

Results: From the analysis of all patients, the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were found to be significantly poorer for patients with non-glottic cancer compared to those with glottic cancer (P<0.001), and non-glottic subsite was shown to be the only poor prognostic factor for OS by the multivariate analysis (P=0.006). SPC was responsible for two-thirds of all deaths. In the analysis of patients with stage II ELSCC, the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates were significantly better for patients treated by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with S-1 compared to those treated by the other treatment methods, and a combination with the S-1 regimen was shown to be the only good prognostic factor for DFS by the multivariate analysis (P=0.015).

Conclusions: Non-glottic subsite and SPC were associated with worsened survival. CCRT with S-1 can be a useful treatment option for stage II ELSCC.

Keywords: Early stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (ELSCC); concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT); S-1; second primary cancer (SPC); survival

Submitted Apr 22, 2018. Accepted for publication Jun 13, 2018.

doi: 10.21037/tcr.2018.06.15


Many patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) are diagnosed at an advanced stage, whereas more than half of those with laryngeal cancer are diagnosed at an early stage (1,2). Early-stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (ELSCC), particularly the most common form arising in the glottis, is known to be curable. It does matter whether the treatment for ELSCC aims at preserving laryngeal function or not. According to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) Guidelines, partial laryngectomy, such as transoral laser microsurgery (TLM) and partial laryngectomy, and radiation therapy (RT) were recommend as appropriate treatment modalities for ELSCC (3). Previous articles comparing these two modalities reported that the treatment outcomes were generally similar (4,5), whereas RT might afford better voice outcomes following treatment than TLM in patients with stage II cancer (5-7). In patients with residual or recurrence tumor, phonetic function is sacrificed in cases undergoing radical salvage surgery. Considering that the local control rate of stage II cancer remains unsatisfactory (8-11), we believe that the primary treatment strategy of stage II cancer needs to be enhanced.

Several articles reported that concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with a low-intensity chemotherapy regimen was tolerable, and provided better local control than did RT alone (12-15). Among the various chemotherapeutic agents reported for use in concurrent chemotherapy, S-1 appeared to be effective (12-15). S-1 (Taiho Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd) is an orally available anticancer-drug consisting of tegafur, a prodrug of 5-fluorouracil, together with gimeracil and oteracil potassium. Gimeracil is an inhibitor of dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase, which is responsible for 5-FU catabolism. Oteracil potassium is an inhibitor of 5-FU phosphorylation in the gastrointestinal tract. This combination of agents is designed to enhance its anticancer effect and reduce gastrointestinal toxicity (16,17). Its efficacy has been reported for a number of solid cancers including HNSCC (12,13,15,18-22).

The incidence of second primary cancer (SPC) during the follow-up period after primary treatment in patients with HNSCC represents a considerable issue in terms of aggravating survival (23). Patients with HNSCC are reported to have high incidence of SPC, with an incidence of 2.6–4.0% per year (24-26).

In this study, we retrospectively reviewed survival outcomes, as well as the incidence of SPC, in patients with ELSCC treated by RT-based therapy. We also investigated the efficacy of irradiation with the S-1 regimen as a treatment strategy for ELSCC.



We conducted a retrospective review of 128 patients with ELSCC (T1–2N0M0) treated with curative intent in the Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Yokohama City University Hospital, Japan, between April 2004 and June 2016. In this study, the stage of the tumor was determined on the basis of the clinical findings and classified according to the criteria of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC), 7th edition, 2009. Among patients treated before 2009, only those corresponding to the above criteria were extracted. The pretreatment evaluation included physical examination, CT imaging, laryngoscopy, esophagogastroscopy, histological examination of the larynx, and 18F-labeled fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG)-positron emission tomography (PET) or PET/CT imaging. Thirty-one patients had undergone surgery and were hence excluded from the study, resulting in the remaining 97 patients being included in the final analysis.


RT was delivered in conventional fractions of 1.8 or 2.0 Gy to a total dose of 66.0–70.2 Gy, 5 days per week, using 4–6 MV X-rays. The median dose of radiation was 70.0 Gy (range, 60.0–70.2 Gy). The radiation fields were set up as follows: the primary tumor alone for glottic cancers; the primary tumor and, prophylactically, the bilateral cervical lymph node area (levels Ib–III) for supraglottic cancers; and the primary tumor and, prophylactically, the bilateral cervical lymph node area (levels Ib–IV) for subglottic cancers. Lateral opposed fields were used for glottic and supraglottic cancers. For subglottic cancers, radiation fields consisted of the lateral opposed fields to the upper neck and the anterior field to the lower neck. The cervical lymph node area received prophylactic doses of 39.6–45 Gy.

Several combined-agent regimens were used during the RT: the S-1 regimen (oral tegafur at 40 or 50 mg twice daily for 2 weeks, followed by 1 week of rest) (12), uracil-tegafur (UFT) regimen (oral UFT 300 mg daily) (14), docetaxel (DOC) regimen (12 mg/m2 weekly) (27), carboplatin (CBDCA) plus UFT regimen (CBDCA at a dose of the area under the curve of 1.25 weekly and oral UFT 300 mg daily) (14), cetuximab regimen (week 1: 400 mg/m2; subsequent weeks: 250 mg/m2) (28) and PFML regimen [cisplatin (CDDP) (60 mg/m2, Day 4), 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) (600 mg/m2 given over 24 h for 5 days, Days 1–5), methotrexate (30 mg/m2, Day 1), and leucovorin (20 mg/m2, Days 1–5), given every 4 weeks] (29).

Multiple primary cancer and SPC

A multiple primary cancer was defined as another primary cancer of histologic origin different from the laryngeal cancer. “Synchronous” was defined as a multiple primary cancer developing within 6 months of ELSCC diagnosis. SPC was defined as another primary cancer detected 6 months after the laryngeal cancer was diagnosed.


At 2 months after the completion of RT, the response to the treatment was evaluated according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (30). For the follow-up, laryngoscopy was performed at least every 3 months, and imaging examinations, including CT and/or PET, were performed at least every 6 months in the survivors. Salvage surgery was considered when residual or recurrence was confirmed. Complications were assessed during treatment and at 4 weeks after treatment using the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v4.0. Written informed consent to participate in future retrospective studies was obtained from all study patients prior to treatment.

Statistical analysis

Statistical differences in predictive values were determined by Mann-Whitney’s U test. Time-to-event statistics were calculated from the date of the first day of irradiation to the event of interest. Disease-free survival (DFS) was defined as the time to first relapse or death from any cause. Overall survival (OS) and DFS were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Wilcoxon log-rank test was adopted to elucidate statistical differences in survival between the groups. For univariate and multivariate comparisons, Fisher’s exact test and a Cox proportional hazards model were used, respectively. All statistical analyses were performed using EZR (Saitama Medical Center, Jichi Medical University, Saitama, Japan), which is a graphical user interface for R (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). All statistical tests were two-sided, with P values <0.05 considered significant. This study was approved by the International Review Board of Yokohama City University Hospital in accordance with the principles embodied in the Declaration of Helsinki.


Patient characteristics and treatment response

Patient characteristics are summarized in Table 1. All 97 study patients enrolled were male, with a median age of 68 (range, 51–84, mean 68.6) years. Eighty-eight patients (90.7%) had a tumor in the glottic region, 6 (6.2%) in the supraglottic region and 3 (3.1%) in the subglottic region. With regard to tumor stage, 75 patients (77.3%) presented with stage II cancer, and 22 (22.7%) with stage I cancer. Eighty-one patients (83.5%) were treated by CCRT or bioradiotherapy (BRT). As for the details of the combined-agent regimens, the S-1, UFT, DOC, CBDCA plus UFT, and cetuximab regimens were used in 58, 11, 5, 5, and 1 patients, respectively. One patient underwent the PFML regimen because of simultaneous treatment for esophageal carcinoma. The remaining 16 patients (16.5%) were treated by RT alone based on tumor size and general condition. The median follow-up time was 60 months and a complete response (CR) was confirmed in all patients after the primary treatment.

Table 1
Table 1 Patient characteristics (n=97)
Full table


Acute adverse events for all patients are listed in Table 2. Mucositis and dermatitis in the radiation field were the most commonly observed adverse events. No patients experienced any Grade 4 adverse event. Tube feeding was performed temporarily in only one patient who underwent the PFML regimen because of difficulties with oral intake due to Grade 3 mucositis, but no patient had a gastrostomy tube inserted or required a tracheostomy.

Table 2
Table 2 Treatment-related acute adverse events (n=97)
Full table

Recurrence, SPC, and patient status

The details of recurrence, incidence of SPC, and patient status are shown in Table 3. Recurrence was observed during follow-up in nine patients with stage II cancer. In terms of primary tumors before irradiation, seven patients presented with a glottic tumor and two with a supraglottic tumor. Local recurrence, regional recurrence, and distant metastasis were observed in seven, one, and one patient, respectively. The median interval from the completion of RT to recurrence was 51 months (range, 7–66 months). With regard to salvage surgery, total laryngectomy, TLM, and neck dissection were performed in 5, 2 and 1 patient, respectively. One patient underwent additional TLM due to local recurrence after salvage TLM. Systemic chemotherapy consisting of cetuximab, CDDP and 5-FU was performed for one patient with distant metastasis.

Table 3
Table 3 Recurrence, second primary cancer and turning point (n=97)
Full table

Multiple primary cancers were observed in 38 (39.2%), and SPC was observed in 11 patients. As for the details of SPC, there were two head and neck cancers, two lung cancers, two colon cancers, one thyroid cancer, one esophageal cancer, one cutaneous malignancy, and one hematologic malignancy. The median interval from the diagnosis of ELSCC to the incidence of SPC was 48 months (range, 7–66 months).

Six patients died of the following causes: 1 of recurrence of ELSCC, 4 of SPC, and 1 of heart disease. The other 91 patients remained alive at the last follow-up (90 were recurrence free and one with recurrent disease).

Correlation between the patient characteristics and incidence of SPC

Details regarding the correlation between the patient characteristics and incidence of SPC are shown in Table 4. All SPCs were observed in the patients treated with CCRT. We compared the incidence of SPC by pretreatment factor and treatment strategy using univariate analysis, and no significant factors were found for the incidence of SPC.

Table 4
Table 4 Correlations between patient characteristics and incidence of SPC (n=97).
Full table

Correlation between the patient characteristics and prognostic factors

The 5-year OS and DSS for all patients were 91.4% and 87.0%, respectively. We compared survival outcome by pretreatment factor, treatment modality and combined-agent regimen using univariate and multivariate analysis. The univariate analysis showed that the primary tumor subsite (P=0.010) and incidence of SPC (P=0.018) were significant factors for OS, while concurrent chemotherapy or combination with S-1 regimen were not significant factors (Table 5). Multivariate analysis, including age at treatment, primary tumor subsite, T classification, concurrent chemotherapy, and incidence of SPC, showed that only the primary tumor subsite (hazard ratio =9.80; 95% CI: 1.96–49.10; P=0.006) was an independent prognostic factor for OS (Table 6). The Kaplan-Meier curves for subsite, SPC and treatment modality are presented in Figure 1A,B,C, respectively. The 5-year OS rates for patients with glottic cancer vs. non-glottic cancer, patients with SPC vs. those without SPC, and patients treated with RT alone versus those with CCRT were 97.0% vs. 70.0% (P<0.001: Figure 1A), 95.2% vs. 88.9% (P=0.089: Figure 1B) and 100% vs. 93.7% (P=0.572: Figure 1C), respectively. These results indicated that, in patients with ELSCC, non-glottic cancer predicted a poorer prognosis, and the incidence of SPC might affect prognosis.

Table 5
Table 5 Correlations between patient characteristics and prognostic factors (n=97).
Full table
Table 6
Table 6 Multivariate analyses of clinical factors relating to OS in patients with ELSCC (n=97)
Full table
Figure 1 Overall survival rates according to primary tumor subsite (A), second primary cancer (B), and concurrent chemotherapy (C) calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

The efficacy of S-1 for CCRT in patients with stage II cancer

We also analyzed the efficacy of the S-1 regimen in terms of the response to irradiation among the stage II subgroup. Among the patients treated by CCRT with S-1, three had recurrent disease and one died of disease, with three patients who remained recurrence free dying of other disease. Among the patients treated by other treatment methods, six had recurrent disease and were successfully salvaged by surgical treatment, and one recurrence-free patient died of other disease. Next, we compared survival outcome by age, subsite, and combination with S-1 regimen using multivariate analysis. The results showed that only combination with S-1 regimen was an independent prognostic factor for DFS (hazard ratio =5.55; 95% CI: 1.38–22.20; P=0.015, Table 7). The Kaplan-Meier curve for combination with S-1 regimen is shown in Figure 2. The 5-year DFS rates were 94.0% vs. 75.6% (P=0.006: Figure 2). These results indicated that the patients with stage II cancer treated by CCRT in combination with the S-1 regimen showed a better prognosis.

Table 7
Table 7 Multivariate analyses of clinical factors relating to DFS in patients with stage II cancer treated with CCRT with S-1 (n=75)
Full table
Figure 2 Disease-free survival rates in patients with stage II cancer according to combination with S-1 regimen and the other types of therapy calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. RT, radiation therapy.


In order to preserve laryngeal function, radiation-based therapy has been used widely for patients with ELSCC. We retrospectively evaluated the efficacy of concurrent chemotherapy and analyzed the prognostic factors in ELSCC patients treated by radiation-based therapy. Our findings indicated that non-glottic subsite and incidence of SPC were poor prognostic factors for radiation-based therapy for ELSCC, and the application of the S-1 regimen improved locoregional control in patients with stage II ELSCC.

In this study, many patients were treated by CCRT in order to improve local control. No patients had any serious adverse events, apart from one patient treated by CCRT with high-intensity chemotherapy (PFML regimen), which indicated that most treatments were completed safely. All patients achieved a CR and the prognosis, other than for the six patients who died, was good. Nine patients who showed recurrence, except one patient, also had a good prognosis by salvage surgery.

The analysis of poor prognostic factors revealed that non-glottic subsite and incidence of SPC affected prognosis adversely. Multiple primary cancers occurred in 38 patients, among whom 11 experienced SPC. All of these 11 patients developed stage II ELSCC and were treated by CCRT. SPC was the cause of death in four of the six patients who died in the present study cohort. Three of the nine patients with non-glottic cancer died, with SPC the cause of death in two.

Supraglottic cancer occasionally leads to cervical lymph node metastasis (3), and subglottic cancer has the potential for distant metastasis (11,31). The 5-year OS rates were reported to be 49.0–77.0% for early-stage supraglottic cancer and 45.7% for early-stage subglottic cancer. Previous articles reported that early-stage non-glottic cancer had a poor prognosis, suggesting that high-intensity treatment methods, such as organ preservation surgery plus neck dissection and surgery with adjuvant radiotherapy, were valid treatment modalities (10,11).

In this study, however, it is difficult to confirm whether or not the prognosis for patients with early-stage non-glottic cancer was poor or whether the treatment method used for them was underpowered. This is due to the fact that many cases of recurrent disease were controlled by salvage surgery, and the cause of a large proportion of deaths was SPC. At the moment, we cannot clarify why many patients with early-stage non-glottic cancer died of SPC; thus, further study is required to determine whether or not there is a correlation.

In patients with HNSCC, the incidence of SPC was considered to be an important issue (24,26). The etiology of SPC is usually explained by the concept of field cancerization (32). Physical and chemical substances, such as smoking and alcohol consumption, pass through and stimulate organs covered with a mucosal epithelium. Consequently, SPC was usually observed in the head and neck, upper gastrointestinal, and respiratory regions (25). Notably, second primary lung cancer, head and neck cancer, and esophageal cancer were often significant prognostic factors (26,33). In animal experimental models, the chemoprevention of cancer in the upper respiratory tract was indicated (34).

In this study, SPC was the cause of two-thirds of all deaths, and all of the patients who developed SPC were treated with concurrent chemotherapy. The incidence of SPC affected prognosis as reported previously (35), whereas no significant chemoprevention against SPC by concurrent chemotherapy was shown in this study cohort.

As a chemotherapeutic regimen combined with CCRT, the S-1 regimen was used the most frequently in this study. S-1 is an oral anticancer agent comprising tegafur, gimeracil and oteracil potassium, and has pharmacokinetic properties resembling those of a continuous intravenous infusion of 5-FU (16,17). Some phase III trials reported that S-1 was a useful anticancer agent for the treatment of other solid cancers, such as gastric cancer, colon cancer, non-small cell lung cancer, breast cancer, and pancreatic cancer (18-22). CCRT in combination with S-1 resulted in a positive outcome in this study. The 56 patients with stage II cancer treated by CCRT with S-1 achieved a CR, with a 5-year DFS rate of 94.0%. Several articles reported that CCRT with S-1 for the patients with stage II glottic cancer provided good results, with a CR in all patients, 3-year local control rates of 94.7–95.4% and 3-year OS rates of 85.4–100% (12-15). They also reported that grade 3 mucositis were observed in 3.8–56.5% of all patients during treatment, whereas no grade 4 adverse events were observed, suggesting CCRT with S-1 is a safe treatment method (12-15). In the present analysis of CCRT with S-1 for patients with stage II ELSCC, the outcomes were comparable to those of previous articles (9,12-15), suggesting that CCRT with S-1 regimen is a safe and effective treatment strategy for stage II ELSCC.

There are several limitations to this study, including its single-institution setting, uneven treatment method, uneven CCRT regimen, and small number of deaths. However, the present study remains of importance as it represents the largest series of stage II ELSCC patients treated with CCRT with S-1 reported to date.


In conclusion, the results of this study suggested that early-stage non-glottic subsite and incidence of SPC were poor prognostic factors for radiation-based therapy for ELSCC, and CCRT with S-1 was a useful treatment strategy for patients with stage II ELSCC. Future prospective studies are required to validate the treatment methods for non-glottic cancer, establish early detection and treatment methods for SPC, and determine whether CCRT with S-1 improves the prognosis.


Funding: This study was funded by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) (grant number KAKENHI17K11395) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS).


Conflicts of Interest: The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. A written informed consent was obtained for all participants of the study.


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Cite this article as: Sato K, Yabuki K, Sano D, Arai Y, Chiba Y, Tanabe T, Nishimura G, Hata M, Oridate N. Analysis of prognostic factors, including the incidence of second primary cancer, in patients with early stage laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma treated by radiation-based therapy. Transl Cancer Res 2018;7(4):890-900. doi: 10.21037/tcr.2018.06.15