Prognostic value of immune-related genes in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma
Original Article

Prognostic value of immune-related genes in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

Weixing Liu#, Chunyi Zhang#^, Xin Gong, Wenjing Liao, Jun Xu, Xiaowen Zhang

State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: W Liu, C Zhang, X Zhang; (II) Administrative support: X Zhang; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: W Liu, C Zhang; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: W Liu, C Zhang; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: X Gong, W Liao, J Xu; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

#These authors contributed equally to this work.

^ORCID: 0000-0002-4370-3051.

Correspondence to: Dr. Xiaowen Zhang, MD, PhD. State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, #151 Yanjiangxi Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510120, China. Email:

Background: Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) is a very common cancer in head and neck. A large amount of evidence indicated that immune genes take a non-negligible part in the occurrence and development of LSCC. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the immune-related genes (IRGs) in LSCC.

Methods: We analyzed the expression profiles of IRGs and clinical information of patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset, including one hundred and fourteen LSCC and eleven non-tumor tissues. The uncover molecular mechanisms of these survival-associated IRGs (SAIRGs) were explored by the bioinformatics analyses. A novel prognostic model based on IRGs was developed through multivariate Cox regression.

Results: Twenty-seven differentially expressed SAIRGs in LSCC patients. Copy number alterations, protein-protein interaction (PPI) network, transcription factors (TFs) regulate network were used to identify molecular characteristics of these IRGs. We established an IRGs (TLR2, XCL2, CYSLTR2 and FCGR3B) based prognostic model (IRGPM), which had good performance to predict the prognosis of LSCC (AUC =0.820, P<0.05). Further analysis, we found the IRGPM can reflect the infiltration of several immune cells.

Conclusions: IRGs have a potential role in the occurrence and development of LSCC, and the IRGPM can predict the overall survival rate of LSCC.

Keywords: Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC); bioinformatics analyses; immune genes; prognostic model; markers

Submitted May 24, 2020. Accepted for publication Sep 14, 2020.

doi: 10.21037/tcr-20-2173


Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the seventh most common cancer in the world, of which ~25% are laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). Approximately 150,000 cases are diagnosed with LSCC every year (1,2). At present, patients with LSCC undergo surgery, radiation therapy and chemotherapy, but overall prognosis remains poor. The median overall survival for patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer is only 10–13 months (3). Identification of novel markers will improve early diagnosis, prognosis prediction and survival outcomes of patients with LSCC.

Tumor immunotherapy has attracted increasing attention in cancer research. Immunotherapies can enhance immune system activity to eradicate cancer cells (4). Immune-checkpoint inhibitors inhibit T cell apoptosis and reactivate immune responses against cancer by binding to and inhibiting immune checkpoint pathways (5). The anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) monoclonal antibodies has been used as targeted therapy for the patients with recurrent or metastatic HNSCC, such as nivolumab and pembrolizumab (6-9). However, compared to other types of cancer treatment, the development of LSCC-related immunotherapy has progressed quite slowly. Prognostic signature based on immune-related genes (IRGs) has been evaluated in many cancers, including lung, thyroid, kidney and HNSCC (10-13). Nevertheless, prognostic value of IRGs in LSCC has not been reported.

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of IRGs expression in LSCC and try to develop individualized prognostic model. The results of this study could provide new insights into immunotherapy for LSCC.

We present the following article in accordance with the TRIPOD reporting checklist (available at


Data collection

We downloaded mRNA expression and clinical profiles of LSCC samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database (, including LSCC (n=114) and non-tumor tissues (n=11). Patients with overall survival time less than 3 months were excluded. The median survival time is 18 months (range, 3–213 months). Then, we got an IRGs list via the Immunology Database and Analysis Portal (ImmPort) database ( The database possesses a list of IRGs which have been identified as being actively involved in the immune process for cancer researches. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013).

Identification of differentially expressed genes (DEGs)

To screen the DEGs we used “limma” package in R language normalized expression matrix, then compared between tumors and normal tissues. Differentially expressed IRGs (DEIRGs) were then extracted from all DEGs. DEGs and DEIRGs were screened using the threshold of a log |fold change| >2 and an adjusted P value <0.05. ‘‘gplots’’ package in R software were used to draw volcano maps.

Functional enrichment analysis

The R software “clusterProfiler” package was used to gene functional enrichment analysis. The Gene Ontology (GO) datasets and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment were used to analyze the DEGs and DEIRGs with the online Bioinformatics Tool DAVID ( and KOBAS 3.0 ( KEGG pathways and GO terms with a P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Survival analysis

We downloaded the survival data from TCGA database. A log2 (normalized value +1) data format was used for survival analysis. Then, the univariate cox regression model was used to select survival-related IRGs through the R software “survival” package and P<0.05 was considered significant. We submitted the survival-associated IRGs (SAIRGs) list to the Search Tool for the Retrieval of Interacting Genes/Proteins (STRING) ( to construct protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks. The composite score greater than 0.4 as the cut-off criterion. The PPI network was composed of nodes (genes or proteins) and edges. The Cytoscape software was used to identify hub SAIRGs in the PPI network.

Transcription factors (TFs) network analysis

Cistrome Cancer database ( contains over 20,000 ChIP-seq and chromatin profiles from human and mouse genomes. It provides 318 TFs’ binding information (14). The regulatory networks of the hub IRGs and corresponding TFs was constructed by Cytoscape.

The IRG based prognostic model (IRGPM)

Hub SARIGs were submitted for multivariate Cox regression analysis. The IRGPM was constructed based on expression data multiplied by the Cox regression coefficient. We divided patients into high and low risk groups based on the median risk score. Then, the Kaplan-Meier method was used to establish survival curve of the two groups. Survival differences were tested by using log-rank test. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated by using survival ROC R package to validate the performance of IRGPM. The TIMER database ( analyzes many tumors infiltrating immune cells, including B cells, CD4 T cells, CD8 T cells, macrophages, neutrophils, and dendritic cells (15). The immune infiltrate levels of LSCC patients were download from TIMER to identify relationship between the IRGPM and immune cells infiltration. Furthermore, we constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with LSCC by using R packages “rms”.

Statistical analysis

R (version 3.6.1), Perl (version 5.26.3) and Cytoscape (version 3.6.1) software were used for all data analyses. Data were expressed as the mean ± standard deviation. Student’s t-test was used to test differences among clinical parameters. P<0.05 were considered statistically significant.


Identification of DEIRGs

We eventually included 114 LSCC and 11 non-tumor patients. The available clinical characteristics of the patients were summarized in Table S1. We identified 4,602 up-regulated and 873 down-regulated genes (Figure 1A,B). Further analysis showed that 431 DEIRGs, including 370 up-regulated and 62 down-regulated (Figure 1C,D). As expected, gene functional enrichment analysis showed that immune pathways were most frequently implicated. “Adaptive immune response based on somatic recombination of immune receptors built from immunoglobulin superfamily domains”, “external side of plasma membrane”, and “receptor ligand activity” were the most frequent biological terms among biological processes, cellular components, and molecular functions, respectively (Figure 2A). For the KEGG pathways, cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction was most often enriched by DEIRGs (Figure 2B).

Table S1
Table S1 Clinical characteristics of included patients
Full table
Figure 1 Differentially expressed immune-related genes (IRGs). (A,B) Heatmap (A) and volcano plot (B) demonstrating differentially expressed genes between LSCC and non-tumor tissues. Differentially expressed IRGs are shown in heatmap (C) and volcano plot (D). TCGA database conclude 111 LSCC (T) and 12 non-tumor tissues (N). The rows represent differentially expressed genes and IRGs, whereas the columns represent samples. Red dots represent signifies highly expressed genes, green dots represent signifies low expressed gene and black dots represent no differentially expressed genes. LSCC, laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma; TCGA, The Cancer Genome Atlas; FC, fold change.
Figure 2 Gene functional enrichment of differentially expressed immune-related genes. (A) Gene ontology analysis; (B) the top 10 most significant Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathways.

Identification of survival-associated IRGs

Twenty-seven IRGs were significantly correlated to OS in LSCC patients by univariate analyses, which were all up-regulated in LSCC samples (Table 1). These SAIRGs were most identified in several GO terms related to cell interaction and movement. The cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction was the most often enriched in the KEGG pathway (Figure 3). The hazard ratios forest plot revealed that 11 were protective factors and 16 were risk factors (Figure 4A).

Table 1
Table 1 General characteristics of LSCC survival-associated IRGs
Full table
Figure 3 Gene functional enrichment of survival-associated immune-related genes. (A) Gene ontology analysis; (B) the most significant Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathways.
Figure 4 The prognostic values of immune-related genes (IRGs) and transcription factor-mediated regulatory network. (A) Forest plot of hazard ratios showing the prognostic values of IRGs; (B) PPI network of SAIRGs; (C) PPI network of hub SAIRGs originated from (B) with most significant interactions (MCODE score =3); (D) KEGG pathway enrichment analysis of hub SAIRGs. PPI, protein-protein interaction; MCODE, Molecular Complex Detection; SAIRGs, survival-associated immune-related genes; KEGG, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes.

To clarify the relationships of SAIRGs, a PPI network was constructed that containing 21 nodes and 42 edges (Figure 4B). A significant model was obtained from the PPI network with a cluster score of 3. This module consisted of 6 nodes (FCGR3B, TLR2, AQP9, PROK2, XCL2, CYSLTR2) and 7 edges (Figure 4C). Functional enrichment analysis showed that this PPI module was significantly enriched in leishmaniasis, phagosome and tuberculosis interaction pathway (Figure 4D).

TF regulatory network

TFs can specifically bind to a specific sequence at the upstream end of a gene, ensuring that the target gene is expressed at a specific time and space. Therefore, we think it’s necessary to study how TFs regulate these IRGs. To explore uncover molecular mechanisms corresponding to the clinical significance of SAIRGs, we investigated the regulatory mechanisms of these genes. We identified 65 TFs were differentially expressed between LSCC and normal samples (Figure 5A,B). Then we constructed a regulatory network based on these 65 TFs and our 27 SARIGs (Figure 5C). A correlation scores more than 0.4 and P value <0.001 were set as the cut-off values.

Figure 5 Transcription factor-mediated regulatory network. (A,B) Heatmap (A) and volcano plot (B) demonstrating differentially expressed transcription factors (TFs). TCGA database conclude 111 LSCC (T) and 12 non-tumor tissues (N). The row represents differentially expressed TFs, whereas the column represents samples. Red and green represent upregulated and downregulated TFs, black dots represent no differentially expressed genes. (C) Regulatory network constructed based on clinically relevant TFs and IRGs. The triangles denote TFs and ellipse denote IRGs. Red and green represent upregulated and downregulated IRGs. LSCC, laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma; IRGs, immune-related genes; FC, fold change; FDR, false discovery rate; HR, hazard ratio; TCGA, The Cancer Genome Atlas.

Evaluation of clinical outcomes

We constructed a prognostic model according to the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis (Table S2). LSCC patients were divided into low-risk and high-risk groups with different clinical outcomes of OS (Figure 6). The formula was as follows: [TLR2 expression level * (0.046939)] + [XCL2 expression level * (−0.70999)] + [CYSLTR2 expression level * (−1.44163)] + [FCGR3B expression level * (0.163608)].

Table S2
Table S2 Multivariate Cox regression analysis results
Full table
Figure 6 Development of the prognostic index based on immune-related genes. (A) Heatmap of expression profiles of included genes. The rows represent differentially expressed included genes, whereas the columns represent high risk and low risk group; (B) rank of prognostic index and distribution of groups; (C) survival status of patients in different groups.

According to discrete clinical outcomes, the IRGPM may be a significant tool for differentiating LSCC patients (Figure 7A). The AUC of the ROC curve was 0.820, suggesting that IRGs-based model have high accuracy in survival monitoring (Figure 7B). After adjusting for age, gender, tumor grade, tumor stage and other parameters,

Figure 7 The prognostic value of prognostic index. (A) Kaplan-Meier survival curves of high- and low-risk group in laryngeal cancer. P value was calculated using the log-rank test. Patient in high-risk group suffered shorter progression-free intervals (P<0.01); (B) survival-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve validation of prognostic value of the prognostic index; (C) univariate regression analysis of LSCC; (D) multiple regression analysis of LSCC. Green represent hazard ratio <1 and red represent hazard ratio ≥1.

Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that IRGPM can be an independent predictor (Figure7C,D).

Clinical application of prognostic model

We analyzed association between the IRG (TLR2, XCL2, CYSLTR2 and FCGR3B) based prognostic model (IRGPM) and age, gender, tumor stage, grade, T stage and lymph node metastasis. FCGR3B and XCL2 expression was significantly related to tumor grade, and TLR2 expression correlate with T stage (Figure 8). Furthermore, a nomogram was constructed that integrated the IRGPM risk score and other clinical characteristics including gender, age and stage (Figure 8E). Moreover, we analyzed association between IRGPM and reflects immune cell infiltration to verify whether the immune genome accurately reflects the status of tumor immune microenvironment (Table 2).

Figure 8 The relationships between the immune-related gene (TLR2, XCL2, CYSLTR2 and FCGR3B) based prognostic model (IRGPM) and age, grade and T stage. (A) T stage; (B) age; (C,D) grade. Blue and red dots represent different LSCC samples. (E) A nomogram to predict survival probability at 1, 3, and 5 years for LSCC. LSCC, laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma.
Table 2
Table 2 Relationships between the immune-related prognostic index and infiltration abundances of six types of immune cells
Full table


LSCC is one of the most common cancers in the head and neck with high incidence and low 5-year survival rate (1,2,16). Immunotherapy has become increasingly attention, while options for LSCC are very limited. On the other hand, the gold-standard used for guiding the management of cancer is the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system, but it did not assess genomic features. This study comprehensively analyzed the IRGs expression, found potential target genes and established prognostic model of LSCC. We found that several IRGs were involved in the occurrence and development of LSCC, these IRGs may serve as potential clinical biomarkers. Bioinformatics analysis identified that immune genomic changes can promote the initiation of LSCC through several inflammatory pathways.

It’s still a challenge to evaluating prognosis for tumor patients, as multiple forms of genomic modification are interconnected in regulating carcinogenic pathways. In this study, we established a four IRGs (TLR2, XCL2, CYSLTR2 and FCGR3B) based prognostic model to evaluate the immune status and predict LSCC patients’ clinical outcomes. Further analysis indicated that TLR2 expression level was correlated with T stage, while FCGR3B and XCL2 expression level were significantly related to tumor grade. Toll-like receptors (TLRs) plays a vital role in activation of innate immunity and inflammatory process, which can also promote tumorigenesis and tumor progression (17,18). Previous studies have shown that TLR2 was connected with occurrence and prognosis of LSCC (19). TLR2 signaling pathway was found to be involved in promoting tumor cell movement via activation of the NF-κB pathway in breast and oral cancer (20,21). In addition to gastric cancer, high expression of TLR2 was related to up-regulation anti-apoptotic and down-regulation tumor suppressor genes, which predicts poor prognosis (22). Chemokines play pivotal roles in cancer cell migration and proliferation due to their chemotactic activity such as XCL2 (23). XCL2 overexpression has been shown to be associated with higher pathological stages and poor prognosis (24). In breast cancer, downregulation of XCL2 were associated with good prognosis (25). Cysteinyl leukotriene signaling is implicated in chronic inflammation and white blood cell recruitment. Cysteinyl leukotriene receptor 2 (CYSLTR2) can mediate tumor angiogenesis and contribute to metastasis (26). CYSLTR2 has also been associated with anti-cancer mechanisms (27,28), and the recurrent hotspot mutation in CYSLTR2 is reported as an oncogenic driver mutation in uveal melanoma (29). Fc-gamma receptors, expressed by immune effector cells, play an important role in cancer immunotherapy. FCGR3B, a Fc-gamma receptor encoding gene, was prone to gene copy number variation and FCGR3B copy number variation can be a new biomarker for cancer immunotherapy (30). These findings suggest that our model has good value for LSCC patients’ prognosis and could be potential immune targets. Furthermore, previous research has constructed inflammatory gene-related competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) network and endogenous RNA network to clarify the pathogenesis of laryngeal cancer (31,32). A five-gene (EMP1, HOXB9, DPY19L2P1, MMP1 and KLHDC7B) signature was investigated to monitor the progression of LSCC (33). Various studies have also proposed prognostic model to predict survival of LSCC (34,35). Compared to other studies, the present IRGPM has both prognostic and immune status monitoring function.

The immune system is crucial role in cancer tumorigenesis, progression and response to therapy (36). We have explored the process of immune infiltration in LSCC, and our results revealed that B cell and neutrophil cell infiltration levels were significantly positively associated with IRGPM. It suggested that, in high-risk patients, the infiltration level of neutrophil and B cell may be increased and immune cells are important for LSCC. Neutrophils can promote resistance to radiation therapy (37). In addition, higher neutrophil gene expression was related to clear cell renal cell carcinoma recurrence (13). Furthermore, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio has been used as a circulating prognostic marker for multiple cancers, such as parotid cancer, esophageal cancer and HNSCC (38-40). CD4+ and CD8+ T cell were associated with a favorable tumor prognosis in LSCC (41,42). In contrast to T cells, B cells have both positive and negative impacts on tumor immunity and progression reported in various cancer. B cells have been reported to improve overall survival in HPV-associated HNSCC, and PD-1 blockade can activate B cells (43). The immune checkpoints are the main mechanism of tumor immune evasion such as the PD-1 and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) (44). Assessing PD-1/PD-L1 and immune microenvironment markers seems a promising approach for identifying patients at higher risk of LSCC (45). When tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) inside the tumor is sufficient with PD-L1 expression, the patients may respond to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade. However, the immune checkpoints blockade is most likely not successful with low TILs in tumor microenvironment (46). This research improved our understanding of IRGs clinical importance and found potential molecular characteristics. Therefore, further studies are needed to clarify IRGs’ function comprehensively.

To clarify the possible molecular mechanisms, we built TF-IRGs network to expose vital TFs. ETF1, FOXP3 and BATF were featured prominently TF genes in this network. Eukaryotic translation termination factor 1 (ETF1) is mainly involved in the regulation of translation release factor activity, protein methylation and autophagy (47). Abnormal expression of ETF1 can participate in the progression of many cancers, including breast cancer and glioblastoma (48). Moreover, ETF1 could produce potential oncogenic abnormal proteins and be a potential therapeutic target for myeloid tumors (49). TF forkhead box protein 3 (FOXP3) was a marker of regulatory T cells (Tregs), which was reported to exert immunosuppressive effects and prognosis (50). Previous studies demonstrated that FOXP3 was associated with prognosis of LSCC (12). BATF belongs to the group of activator protein 1 (AP-1) TFs, which has affection in cell growth and proliferation (51). BATF is also a key regulator in T cell exhaustion (52). Additionally, previous studies suggest that BATF may affect several cancer developments, such as lung cancer and multiple myeloma (53). In conclusion, TF-IRGs network is potential to participated in the generation and development of LSCC by processes such as protein methylation, autophagy, Tregs regulation and T cell exhaustion.

Our study still has some limitations. Firstly, our results need to be verified through clinical trials. Secondly, other researches may draw different results due to different experimental variations and statistical methods. Beyond these limitations, we hope this prognostic model could inspire scientists on LSCC immunotherapy.


A novel prognostic model based on IRGs (TLR2, XCL2, CYSLTR2 and FCGR3B) is identified as an effective way to predict the prognosis of LSCC.


The authors sincerely thank the TCGA, ImmPort and TIMER databases for sharing the data.

Funding: High-level Construction Project of Guangzhou Medical University.


Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the TRIPOD reporting checklist. Available at

Peer Review File: Available at

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at tcr-20-2173). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013).

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See:


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Cite this article as: Liu W, Zhang C, Gong X, Liao W, Xu J, Zhang X. Prognostic value of immune-related genes in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma. Transl Cancer Res 2020;9(10):6287-6302. doi: 10.21037/tcr-20-2173